Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.769838 4.459314 5.203142 6.061116 7.019237 8.052141 9.245633
2025-12-07 2.752675 3.659428 4.718599 6.030063 7.592715 9.377760 11.552975
2025-12-14 1.920764 2.882763 4.100042 5.712872 7.751625 10.201520 13.323883
2025-12-21 1.362865 2.316446 3.622758 5.467718 7.927822 11.017342 15.106886
2025-12-28 1.120134 2.119157 3.581416 5.754565 8.773673 12.691979 18.023426
2026-01-04 0.961425 2.007188 3.631210 6.152946 9.778508 14.611814 21.334835
2026-01-11 0.821256 1.890237 3.647794 6.490626 10.706914 16.463334 24.626268
2026-01-18 0.656557 1.688753 3.496430 6.550745 11.229761 17.775355 27.239158
2026-01-25 0.490646 1.437428 3.218417 6.374247 11.377667 18.556408 29.143681
2026-02-01 0.368138 1.234925 2.986565 6.235943 11.556133 19.368788 31.099742
2026-02-08 0.274811 1.063993 2.779466 6.107775 11.726938 20.159976 33.034054
2026-02-15 0.207999 0.931915 2.621733 6.041598 11.980123 21.068862 35.150227
2026-02-22 0.178943 0.896155 2.660306 6.339512 12.855006 22.962122 38.779432
2026-03-01 0.136821 0.801003 2.554293 6.357474 13.264316 24.163056 41.435755
2026-03-08 0.088849 0.653682 2.297816 6.055451 13.105902 24.475966 42.784199
2026-03-15 0.056928 0.538495 2.087986 5.815080 13.028787 24.901132 44.300574
2026-03-22 0.048924 0.527072 2.142853 6.124531 13.942708 26.930203 48.293474
2026-03-29 0.044774 0.533656 2.247621 6.547156 15.078446 29.346298 52.928347
2026-04-05 0.039377 0.529092 2.320048 6.903956 16.106720 31.613069 57.378285
2026-04-12 0.029168 0.482908 2.262703 6.968848 16.595587 33.009644 60.511753
2026-04-19 0.018001 0.409367 2.103342 6.785190 16.604065 33.608806 62.412885
2026-04-26 0.010795 0.349614 1.969035 6.640975 16.673540 34.303722 64.470733
2026-05-03 0.006114 0.298397 1.846310 6.507057 16.749264 35.002701 66.539498